India’s Demat Account Boom: 5 Listed Stocks Analysis, Forecast?


India now has about 24 crore demat accounts. Five listed stocks sit closest to this boom: CDSL, NSDL, Groww, Angel One,and BSE.

StockHow it earns from the boomBrokerage view Biggest risk
CDSLFee on every account and tradeMostly Hold / NeutralProfit fell 13.5% in FY26
NSDLYearly custody fee on every accountNeutralLower margin than CDSL
Angel OneBrokerage and loans to new clientsMostly BuyProfit fell 22% in FY26
GrowwBiggest broker by active clientsBuyDepends on options trading
BSETrading volume grows with investorsMixed: Buy to UnderperformNew rules hit expiry-day volume

The Demat Boom in Numbers

Data pointFigureSource
Total demat accounts, Sept 2026240.6 millionNSDL + CDSL data via Business Standard, 7 Oct 2026
CDSL share193.4 million (about 80%)NSDL + CDSL data via Business Standard, 7 Oct 2026
New accounts, Sept 20262.89 millionNSDL + CDSL data via Business Standard, 7 Oct 2026
New accounts, Aug 20263.27 millionNSDL + CDSL data via Business Standard, 7 Oct 2026
New accounts, Jan 20263.72 millionNSDL + CDSL data via Business Standard, 7 Oct 2026
Total accounts, Dec 202521.59 croreAditya Birla Capital
Active accounts vs total, June 202619.4%360 ONE report via ANI

Two Things to Know Before You Buy

  • Accounts are not investors. One person can hold many accounts. The unique investor count is lower.
  • Only about 1 in 5 accounts is active. A new account helps depositories more than it helps brokers. Brokers earn when clients trade.

Growth is also slowing. NSDL’s FY26 presentation shows industry net account additions fell 21.9% in FY26.



1. CDSL (Central Depository Services)

CDSL is India’s largest depository. It holds about 80% of all demat accounts. It earns fees from transactions, new accounts, issuer charges and KYC services.

Last 3 Years

YearRevenue in ₹Net profit in ₹
FY24~812 (estimate) Cr~420 (estimate) Cr
FY251,082 Cr526 Cr
FY261,145 Cr455 Cr

FY24 revenue is worked out from the reported 33.3% growth in FY25. FY24 profit comes from a public data page. Check both against CDSL’s FY24 annual report.

What Happened in FY26

  • Revenue grew 5.8%.
  • Profit fell 13.5%.
  • Costs rose and other income dropped.
  • Q4 FY26 profit fell 20% to about ₹80 crore.
  • Q1 FY27 looked better: sales about ₹293 crore, profit about ₹118 crore.

Brokerage Ratings

BrokerageRatingTargetDate
ICICI SecuritiesHold/Sell₹1,080-1,140Oct 2026
Motilal OswalNeutral₹1,210Oct 2026
JM FinancialBuy₹1,500Oct 2026
NuvamaHold/Sell₹1,250Oct 2026
Average target (Trendlyne)Hold₹1,418Oct 2026

Growth Outlook to 2030

DriverWhy it matters
More accountsEvery new account brings fees
More IPOsIssuer fees rise
KYC and other servicesExtra income outside trading
Cost controlProfit fell in FY26 even as revenue grew

Bull and Bear Case

Bull caseBear case
New accounts speed up againCash-market volume stays weak
Costs stabilise, margin recoversProfit keeps falling
Q1 FY27 recovery continuesBrokers already see the stock as fully priced
About 80% share stays safeNSDL keeps winning new accounts (15.4% net share in FY26)

2. NSDL (National Securities Depository)

NSDL is India’s older depository. It lists on the stock market since August 2025. It holds about 87% of the total value of securities in demat form. CDSL leads on number of accounts. NSDL leads on asset value.

Last 3 Years

YearRevenue Net profit
FY24₹1,367 Cr ₹275 Cr
FY25₹1,535 Cr₹343 Cr
FY26₹1,660 Cr₹380 Cr

What Happened in FY26

  • Revenue grew 8.1%. Profit grew 10.8%.
  • NSDL’s share of net new accounts rose from 9.0% to 15.4%.
  • Yearly custody fees made up 50.4% of standalone operating revenue. This income is steady and repeats every year.
  • Reports put its FY26 EBITDA margin near 28%, against about 52% for CDSL.

Brokerage Ratings

BrokerageRatingTargetDate
Motilal OswalNeutral₹9301 Aug 2026

Growth Outlook to 2030

DriverWhy it matters
Custody fee incomeGrows with every account, in good markets and bad
Rising account shareWomen’s demat plan and other offers aim to win more
SubsidiariesTheir share of profit grew in FY26
Margin gapIf NSDL narrows it with CDSL, profit jumps

Bull and Bear Case

Bull caseBear case
Account share keeps risingMargin stays far below CDSL
Custody fees give steady growthRevenue grows slower than CDSL’s
Margin improvesBrokers see limited upside at current price
Subsidiaries add profitFree or cheap account offers cut fee income

3. Angel One

Angel One is a large retail broker. It had 37.79 million clients in April 2026, up 20% in a year. It earns from brokerage, interest on margin loans and fund distribution.

Last 3 Years

YearRevenueNet profit
FY24₹4,280 Cr₹1,126 Cr
FY25₹5,248 Cr₹1,172 Cr
FY26₹5,152 Cr₹915 Cr

What Happened in FY26

  • Revenue fell 1.8%. Profit fell 22%.
  • Rules on equity derivatives hurt trading income.
  • Q4 FY26 profit jumped 83% to ₹320 crore.
  • Debt to assets rose to 0.33x from 0.20x.
  • Motilal Oswal says new market rules hit broking income. Margin trading loans and distribution grew fast.

Brokerage Ratings

BrokerageRatingTargetDate
Motilal OswalBuy₹38020 Oct 2026
JPMorganBuy₹410Jul 2026
KotakBuy₹380Jul 2026
CitiBuy₹380Apr 2026
JM FinancialAdd₹350Apr 2026
UBSHold₹340Apr 2026

Growth Outlook to 2030

DriverWhy it matters
Client growthYoung investors from small towns keep joining
Margin loansInterest income grows with client money
Fund distributionSteady fee income less tied to trading
Rule changesDerivatives rules decide trading income

Bull and Bear Case

Bull caseBear case
Trading income recoversProfit stays below FY25 level
Loan and distribution income growsDebt keeps rising
Profit margin stays above 40% (EBDAT margin hit 41.7% in Q4 FY26)Groww keeps taking market share
Brokers see about 20% upsideMore rule changes on options trading

4. Groww (Billionbrains Garage Ventures)

Groww listed in November 2025. It is India’s largest broker by active clients. It had over 12.6 million active clients and about 26% share in June 2025.

Last 3 Years

YearRevenueNet profit
FY24₹2,609CrAbout (₹805) loss Cr
FY25₹3,902Cr₹1,824 Cr
FY26₹4,645Cr₹2,083Cr

Sources quote the FY24 loss as ₹799 crore to ₹805 crore. Use the figure in Groww’s IPO papers.

What Happened in FY26

  • Revenue grew 19%. Profit grew 14%.
  • Q4 FY26 profit jumped 122% to ₹686 crore.
  • Q1 FY27 revenue was ₹1,501 crore.
  • State Street got approval to invest in Groww’s fund house.
  • Loan book risk to watch: the lending arm’s bad loans rose from 0.29% in FY24 to 1.68% in FY25.

Brokerage Ratings

BrokerageRatingTargetDate
CitiBuy₹255After Q1 FY27
Motilal OswalBuy₹250Aug 2026
JPMorganOverweight₹250After Q1 FY27
JefferiesBuy₹240 (cut from ₹250)Sep 2026
KotakBuy₹220May 2026

Every broker I found says Buy. Check this again before publishing.

Growth Outlook to 2030

DriverWhy it matters
Market shareIt gains share while the account base is flat
Margin trading loansJefferies sees room to grow
Fund house, wealth and commodity tradingSpread income beyond options
Low customer costMotilal Oswal expects orders to grow over 20% a year through FY28

Bull and Bear Case

Bull caseBear case
Market share keeps risingOptions trading slows under new rules
New products add profitJefferies already cut estimates for this
Profit margin stays above 50%Stock has already run up since the IPO
Brokers see about 18% to 20% upsideBad loans in the lending arm grow

5. BSE Ltd

BSE is a stock exchange. It does not earn from accounts. It earns from trading volume, listing fees, data and services. More investors can mean more trades, but not always.

Last 3 Years

YearRevenueNet profit
FY24₹1,596 Cr404 Cr
FY25₹3,236Cr 1,322Cr
FY26₹5,148Cr2,487 Cr

What Happened in FY26

  • Revenue grew 59%. Profit grew 88%.
  • Q1 FY27 profit rose 62% to ₹873 crore.
  • Board proposed a ₹10 dividend.
  • Growth comes from the options (derivatives) segment. Exchange rules can change this fast.

Brokerage Ratings

BrokerageRatingTargetDate
Motilal OswalBuy (upgraded)₹4,00026 Oct 2026
JPMorganNeutral₹4,090Aug 2026
ICICI SecuritiesHold₹3,530Aug 2026
NuvamaHold (downgraded)₹3,240Aug 2026
JefferiesUnderperform (downgraded)₹2,940Aug 2026

Growth Outlook to 2030

DriverWhy it matters
Options volumeBiggest profit driver
Market shareGains slowed outside expiry days
Mutual fund platformSteady income from new investors
Data and colocationAdds income outside trading

Bull and Bear Case

Bull caseBear case
Options volume recoversClosing auction session cuts expiry-day trades
Cash and fund platform growRBI bank guarantee norms add cost
Motilal Oswal sees about 23% upsideJefferies sees about 15% downside
Profit margin stays highMarket share gains look close to full

Comparison

CDSLNSDLAngel OneGrowwBSE
TypeDepositoryDepositoryBrokerBrokerExchange
FY26 revenue (₹ cr)1,1451,6605,1524,6455,148
FY26 profit (₹ cr)4553809152,0832,487
Profit change vs FY25-13.5%+10.8%-22%+14%+88%
Link to demat boomDirectDirectMediumMediumIndirect
Brokerage viewHoldNeutralBuyBuyMixed

What Could the Account Base Look Like in 2030?

No brokerage I found publishes a 2030 target. I will not invent one. Here is simple math instead. This is not a forecast.

Start: 240.6 million accounts (Sept 2026). Add new accounts for 51 months, to Dec 2030.

Monthly additionsTotal by Dec 2030
1.5 million (slow)About 317 million
2.5 million (recent low end)About 368 million
3 million (recent average)About 394 million

Conclusion

  • Want the cleanest demat-boom bet? Look at CDSL and NSDL. They earn on accounts. But brokers see both as fairly priced today.
  • Want growth with a market-share story? Groww has the strongest brokerage support and fast profit growth. Options-trading rules are the main risk.
  • Want a recovery bet? Angel One’s profit fell in FY26 but Q4 bounced. Most brokers say Buy.
  • Want a high-profit, high-risk bet? BSE grew fastest. But brokers disagree, and rule changes can hit volume quickly.

The boom is real. But growth in new accounts is slowing, and only about 1 in 5 accounts is active. Pick stocks by how they earn money, not by the account count.


Disclaimer:

This article is for education. It does not tell you to buy or sell any stock. Markets carry risk. Talk to a SEBI-registered advisor before you invest.

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